Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.038213 0.041576 0.044963 0.048624 0.052463 0.056364 0.060622
2025-10-26 0.033100 0.038088 0.043278 0.049058 0.055291 0.061789 0.069051
2025-11-02 0.027612 0.033580 0.039987 0.047321 0.055432 0.064078 0.073939
2025-11-09 0.023985 0.030703 0.038125 0.046830 0.056664 0.067341 0.079722
2025-11-16 0.021137 0.028413 0.036667 0.046565 0.057960 0.070529 0.085308
2025-11-23 0.019686 0.027585 0.036748 0.047934 0.061006 0.075606 0.092956
2025-11-30 0.018309 0.026705 0.036654 0.049003 0.063634 0.080156 0.099976
2025-12-07 0.016911 0.025675 0.036278 0.049652 0.065702 0.084016 0.106176
2025-12-14 0.015423 0.024411 0.035519 0.049755 0.067058 0.087001 0.111332
2025-12-21 0.014595 0.023928 0.035672 0.050922 0.069647 0.091400 0.118114
2025-12-28 0.012996 0.022309 0.034297 0.050122 0.069799 0.092882 0.121453
2026-01-04 0.011987 0.021416 0.033793 0.050357 0.071169 0.095776 0.126427
2026-01-11 0.011197 0.020797 0.033640 0.051053 0.073141 0.099448 0.132405
2026-01-18 0.010444 0.020182 0.033456 0.051684 0.075024 0.103016 0.138276
2026-01-25 0.008934 0.018340 0.031529 0.049980 0.073925 0.102928 0.139746
2026-02-01 0.007982 0.017261 0.030586 0.049516 0.074350 0.104667 0.143390
2026-02-08 0.007183 0.016354 0.029834 0.049263 0.075013 0.106678 0.147348
2026-02-15 0.006943 0.016332 0.030332 0.050692 0.077839 0.111369 0.154579
2026-02-22 0.006632 0.016166 0.030606 0.051804 0.080253 0.115551 0.161198
2026-03-01 0.006225 0.015805 0.030571 0.052478 0.082087 0.119007 0.166931
2026-03-08 0.005703 0.015201 0.030145 0.052586 0.083163 0.121504 0.171484
2026-03-15 0.005489 0.015129 0.030510 0.053794 0.085689 0.125831 0.178302
2026-03-22 0.004817 0.014157 0.029457 0.052967 0.085486 0.126690 0.180817